Mt. Rushmore·closes in 28mo

Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?

YES means Before 2029

24h volume
239
23.1k lifetime
Open interest
7,046
Spread
19 × 490 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%+5

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
/ 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 91¢
Recent buying8% YES · 92% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask525¢
  • ask1024¢
  • ask423¢
  • ask122¢
  • ask121¢
  • ask519¢
  • ask25016¢
  • ask49014¢
spreadmid 12¢
  • bid19
  • bid14
  • bid401
  • bid119
  • bid305
  • bid260
  • bid21
  • bid6.75
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If an executive action has been taken or a bill has become law directing President Trump’s likeness be sculpted into Mt. Rushmore before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Mar 1, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMTRUSHMORE-29
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 8% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8h ago12¢1.08bought yes
8h ago13¢107bought yes
8h ago108bought no
10h ago1.08bought no
13h ago12¢1bought yes
13h ago12¢5.81bought yes
13h ago12¢4.01bought yes
13h ago11bought no
1d ago826bought no
4d ago0.76bought no
5d ago13¢4.93bought yes
5d ago13¢0.48bought yes
5d ago5.41bought no
8d ago13¢0.07bought yes
10d ago9.21bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.