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music report·closes in 15mo

Will ARIRANG be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling CD Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?

YES means ARIRANG

24h volume
0
3,165 lifetime
Open interest
2,143
+1.35 over 7d
Spread
5¢
11 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
32 recent trades
Chance of YES
78%

A YES contract costs 76¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
22%

costs 29¢

YES bid / ask
71¢ / 76¢
NO bid / ask
24¢ / 29¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6697¢
  • ask36095¢
  • ask7994¢
  • ask5093¢
  • ask1.2392¢
  • ask10078¢
  • ask4977¢
  • ask576¢
spread5¢mid 74¢
  • bid1171¢
  • bid10070¢
  • bid2.5237¢
  • bid14236¢
  • bid1402¢
  • bid2001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If ARIRANG is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling CD Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 26, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-ARI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 112¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 32 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago78¢0.12bought yes
3d ago80¢1.23bought yes
17d ago74¢2.52bought no
17d ago78¢2.52bought yes
20d ago75¢2.49bought no
28d ago79¢1.28bought yes
28d ago78¢5bought yes
1mo ago79¢100bought yes
1mo ago73¢1.15bought no
1mo ago77¢2bought yes
1mo ago77¢1.15bought yes
1mo ago77¢0.15bought yes
1mo ago77¢1.27bought yes
1mo ago71¢1.01bought no
1mo ago78¢1.01bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.