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music report·closes in 15mo

Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling CD Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?

YES means The Life of a Showgirl

24h volume
0
4,853 lifetime
Open interest
2,543
Spread
3¢
0 × 50 at the touch
24h range
–
41 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 3¢
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 100¢
Recent buying80% YES · 20% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00035¢
  • ask3,34034¢
  • ask17231¢
  • ask7930¢
  • ask224¢
  • ask113¢
  • ask1008¢
  • ask503¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If The Life of a Showgirl is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling CD Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jun 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Dec 26, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-TLOASG
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 112¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 41 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    4d ago1¢25bought no
    4d ago1¢25bought no
    1mo ago3¢16bought no
    1mo ago3¢83bought no
    2mo ago10¢47bought yes
    2mo ago9¢52bought yes
    2mo ago4¢193bought no
    2mo ago4¢5bought no
    2mo ago3¢43bought no
    2mo ago9¢5bought yes
    2mo ago10¢43bought yes
    2mo ago4¢25bought yes
    2mo ago4¢4bought yes
    2mo ago5¢164bought yes
    2mo ago6¢1bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.