music report·closes in 15mo

Will ARIRANG be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Albums of 2026 in U.S., by Total Equivalent Album Units, as Published by Billboard?

YES means ARIRANG

24h volume
0
1,396 lifetime
Open interest
1,139
Spread
13¢
100 × 5 at the touch
24h range
5 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/ 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 99¢
Recent buying42% YES · 58% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask35386¢
  • ask22785¢
  • ask53161¢
  • ask455¢
  • ask1,80954¢
  • ask50031¢
  • ask115¢
  • ask514¢
spread13¢mid
  • bid100
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If ARIRANG is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Albums of 2026 in U.S., by Total Equivalent Album Units, as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 19 · 2:28 PM UTC
closes
Dec 26, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPEQUIV27DEC31-ARI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 118¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 5 trades, 42% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago10bought no
13d ago2bought no
17d ago38bought no
17d ago38bought yes
30d ago3bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.