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music report·closes in 15mo

Will I’m the Problem be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Albums of 2026 in U.S., by Total Equivalent Album Units, as Published by Billboard?

YES means I’m the Problem

24h volume
0
3,836 lifetime
Open interest
2,401
+1,098 over 90d
Spread
28¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
40 recent trades
Chance of YES
84%

A YES contract costs 92¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
16%

costs 36¢

YES bid / ask
64¢ / 92¢
NO bid / ask
8¢ / 36¢
Recent buying11% YES · 89% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,25098¢
  • ask44697¢
  • ask10096¢
  • ask1095¢
  • ask593¢
  • ask592¢
spread28¢mid 78¢
  • bid564¢
  • bid10063¢
  • bid1760¢
  • bid14846¢
  • bid50045¢
  • bid48028¢
  • bid1,07727¢
  • bid63814¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If I’m the Problem is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Albums of 2026 in U.S., by Total Equivalent Album Units, as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 19 · 2:28 PM UTC
closes
Dec 26, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPEQUIV27DEC31-IMT
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 118¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 40 trades, 11% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago84¢59bought no
2d ago84¢100bought no
2d ago83¢45bought no
2d ago85¢63bought no
3d ago79¢45bought no
4d ago84¢0.21bought yes
4d ago83¢100bought no
4d ago82¢168bought no
6d ago82¢0.05bought no
6d ago83¢39bought no
6d ago84¢100bought no
6d ago60¢31bought no
6d ago84¢131bought no
6d ago83¢56bought no
6d ago85¢100bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.