music report·closes in 15mo

Will A Bar Song (Tipsy) be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Radio Songs of 2026 in U.S. (Based on Audience Impressions), as Published by Billboard?

YES means A Bar Song (Tipsy)

24h volume
0
6,100 lifetime
Open interest
4,041
+0 over 7d
Spread
14¢
2 × 5 at the touch
24h range
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
/ 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 97¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask19568¢
  • ask6267¢
  • ask49961¢
  • ask33355¢
  • ask9754¢
  • ask153¢
  • ask118¢
  • ask517¢
spread14¢mid 10¢
  • bid2
  • bid13
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If A Bar Song (Tipsy) is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Radio Songs of 2026 in U.S. (Based on Audience Impressions), as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 26, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPRADIO27DEC31-ABA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 113¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14d ago19bought no
1mo ago19bought yes
1mo ago1bought yes
1mo ago31¢3.32bought yes
1mo ago30¢2bought yes
1mo ago250bought yes
1mo ago20bought yes
1mo ago224bought yes
2mo ago468bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.