music report·closes in 15mo

Will Choosin’ Texas be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Radio Songs of 2026 in U.S. (Based on Audience Impressions), as Published by Billboard?

YES means Choosin’ Texas

24h volume
0
1,940 lifetime
Open interest
1,040
Spread
14¢
15 × 5 at the touch
24h range
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
21%

A YES contract costs 18¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
79%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
/ 18¢
NO bid / ask
82¢ / 96¢
Recent buying59% YES · 41% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask45857¢
  • ask44556¢
  • ask14548¢
  • ask347¢
  • ask10533¢
  • ask3.4521¢
  • ask7519¢
  • ask518¢
spread14¢mid 11¢
  • bid15
  • bid100
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Choosin’ Texas is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Radio Songs of 2026 in U.S. (Based on Audience Impressions), as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 26, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPRADIO27DEC31-CHO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 113¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 15 trades, 59% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago21¢9.02bought yes
14d ago5bought yes
14d ago5.95bought yes
22d ago20¢4.73bought yes
28d ago5bought yes
28d ago100bought yes
30d ago22bought no
1mo ago250bought no
1mo ago15bought no
2mo ago0.23bought yes
2mo ago250bought yes
2mo ago22bought yes
2mo ago1bought yes
2mo ago11bought yes
2mo ago1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.