music report·closes in 15mo

Will Choosin’ Texas be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Most-Streamed Songs of 2026 in U.S. (On-Demand Audio), as Published by Billboard?

YES means Choosin’ Texas

24h volume
758
6,269 lifetime
Open interest
3,654
+1,214 over 7d
Spread
250 × 245 at the touch
24h range
80¢ – 93¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
89%4

A YES contract costs 89¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
11%

costs 15¢

YES bid / ask
85¢ / 89¢
NO bid / ask
11¢ / 15¢
24h low 80¢24h high 93¢
Recent buying77% YES · 23% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

60¢70¢80¢90¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8.3899¢
  • ask1,83998¢
  • ask34497¢
  • ask5296¢
  • ask2595¢
  • ask3.7493¢
  • ask24589¢
spreadmid 87¢
  • bid25085¢
  • bid9762¢
  • bid0.9160¢
  • bid14347¢
  • bid67342¢
  • bid22338¢
  • bid13624¢
  • bid55015¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Choosin’ Texas is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Most-Streamed Songs of 2026 in U.S. (On-Demand Audio), as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 26, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSTREAM27DEC31-CHO
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 77% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
13h ago89¢20bought yes
13h ago86¢241bought yes
13h ago83¢242bought yes
13h ago81¢155bought yes
15h ago80¢100bought yes
2d ago93¢2.14bought yes
2d ago80¢50bought yes
3d ago86¢17bought yes
3d ago82¢1.05bought no
3d ago82¢5bought no
3d ago85¢35bought yes
3d ago86¢50bought yes
4d ago83¢100bought yes
5d ago80¢210bought yes
7d ago81¢6.09bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.