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music report·closes in 15mo

Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?

YES means you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love

24h volume
32
5,547 lifetime
Open interest
2,586
Spread
4¢
105 × 10 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
15%−1

A YES contract costs 21¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
85%

costs 83¢

YES bid / ask
17¢ / 21¢
NO bid / ask
79¢ / 83¢
Recent buying23% YES · 77% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask46771¢
  • ask1,56070¢
  • ask763¢
  • ask70962¢
  • ask13761¢
  • ask1,00027¢
  • ask11322¢
  • ask1021¢
spread4¢mid 19¢
  • bid10517¢
  • bid1005¢
  • bid3973¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 26, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPVYNLSALE27DEC31-YOU
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 23% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11h ago15¢22bought no
11h ago16¢10bought no
2d ago16¢25bought no
3d ago19¢5bought no
3d ago18¢100bought no
14d ago18¢20bought yes
14d ago16¢5bought yes
17d ago14¢153bought no
17d ago14¢100bought no
17d ago15¢100bought no
21d ago16¢100bought no
25d ago18¢100bought no
25d ago18¢100bought no
25d ago14¢100bought no
27d ago13¢75bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.