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Navajo Nation presidential election·closes in 14mo

Will Justin Jones win the 2026 Navajo Nation presidential election?

YES means Justin Jones

24h volume
0
6,534 lifetime
Open interest
3,007
+2,981 over 90d
Spread
5¢
1.13 × 46 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 84¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
60%

A YES contract costs 57¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
40%

costs 48¢

YES bid / ask
52¢ / 57¢
NO bid / ask
43¢ / 48¢
24h low 1¢24h high 84¢
Recent buying61% YES · 39% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volJul 9Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1284¢
  • ask30583¢
  • ask1982¢
  • ask4681¢
  • ask5580¢
  • ask20060¢
  • ask558¢
  • ask4657¢
spread5¢mid 55¢
  • bid1.1352¢
  • bid20050¢
  • bid7031¢
  • bid6630¢
  • bid43825¢
  • bid26824¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Justin Jones wins the 2026 Navajo Nation presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Candidates who do not advance to the general election will resolve to No after the July primary.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 8 · 9:23 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNAVAJOPRES-26NOV03-JJON
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 120¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 61% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago60¢1.13bought yes
7d ago55¢16bought no
8d ago55¢3.34bought no
8d ago58¢100bought yes
8d ago59¢358bought yes
16d ago58¢3.34bought yes
17d ago58¢1bought yes
19d ago51¢2.95bought no
1mo ago55¢92bought no
1mo ago59¢41bought yes
1mo ago84¢255bought yes
1mo ago59¢500bought yes
1mo ago59¢11bought no
1mo ago58¢79bought no
1mo ago65¢3bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.