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NBA Game·closes in 2d

Memphis wins

YES means Memphis

24h volume
624.5k
738.8k lifetime
Open interest
435.4k
+388.4k over 7d
Spread
1¢
124.2k × 28.9k at the touch
24h range
48¢ – 77¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
72%+2

A YES contract costs 72¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
28%

costs 29¢

YES bid / ask
71¢ / 72¢
NO bid / ask
28¢ / 29¢
24h low 48¢24h high 77¢
Recent buying40% YES · 60% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢75¢volNov 1Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask48.3k79¢
  • ask4,93878¢
  • ask6,85177¢
  • ask3,89376¢
  • ask8,60875¢
  • ask39.0k74¢
  • ask120.0k73¢
  • ask28.3k72¢
spread1¢mid 72¢
  • bid123.5k71¢
  • bid12.9k70¢
  • bid9,55569¢
  • bid1,84668¢
  • bid1,45967¢
  • bid1,01866¢
  • bid4,23065¢
  • bid13.6k64¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Memphis wins the Indiana vs Memphis Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 1:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNBAGAME-26NOV04INDMEM-MEM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 40% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7s ago72¢7.45bought yes
9s ago72¢1.36bought yes
11s ago71¢161bought no
15s ago72¢136bought yes
18s ago72¢1bought yes
22s ago71¢0.13bought no
26s ago72¢14bought yes
28s ago71¢49bought no
30s ago71¢0.32bought no
30s ago72¢1.21bought yes
44s ago72¢9.53bought yes
46s ago72¢14bought yes
56s ago72¢6.81bought yes
57s ago71¢17bought no
1m ago71¢14bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.