NBA Game·closes in 2d

Memphis wins

YES means Memphis

24h volume
705.8k
776.0k lifetime
Open interest
428.9k
+388.4k over 30d
Spread
2¢
2,960 × 7,114 at the touch
24h range
48¢ – 81¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
70%−1

A YES contract costs 72¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
30%

costs 30¢

YES bid / ask
70¢ / 72¢
NO bid / ask
28¢ / 30¢
24h low 48¢24h high 81¢
Recent buying30% YES · 70% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

50¢75¢volNov 1Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,71575¢
  • ask7,47674¢
  • ask2,68573¢
  • ask4,43872¢
  • ask7,81271¢
  • ask5,03270¢
  • ask2,96169¢
  • ask2,31068¢
spread1¢mid 68¢
  • bid7,74567¢
  • bid3,63666¢
  • bid4,89565¢
  • bid2,49064¢
  • bid4,58563¢
  • bid1,58762¢
  • bid47061¢
  • bid5,61560¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Memphis wins the Indiana vs Memphis Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 1:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNBAGAME-26NOV04INDMEM-MEM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 99¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 30% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2s ago68¢211bought yes
2s ago68¢285bought yes
2s ago68¢59bought yes
2s ago68¢285bought yes
2s ago68¢285bought yes
2s ago68¢74bought yes
2s ago68¢235bought yes
2s ago68¢500bought yes
2s ago68¢7bought yes
3s ago68¢2bought no
3s ago68¢41bought no
3s ago70¢0.54bought yes
3s ago70¢6.45bought yes
4s ago67¢494bought no
4s ago68¢123bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.