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NBA Game·closes in 2d

Minnesota wins

YES means Minnesota

24h volume
695.9k
779.5k lifetime
Open interest
549.3k
Spread
1¢
1,859 × 116.2k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
35%+7

A YES contract costs 35¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
65%

costs 66¢

YES bid / ask
34¢ / 35¢
NO bid / ask
65¢ / 66¢
Recent buying96% YES · 4% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask23.6k42¢
  • ask53.5k41¢
  • ask7,31140¢
  • ask6,93539¢
  • ask8,61338¢
  • ask21.7k37¢
  • ask24.7k36¢
  • ask116.2k35¢
spread1¢mid 35¢
  • bid1,85934¢
  • bid50.9k33¢
  • bid9,28032¢
  • bid4,01931¢
  • bid2,19930¢
  • bid1,79229¢
  • bid9,95628¢
  • bid15.7k27¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Minnesota wins the Minnesota vs Houston Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 1:36 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:30 AM UTC
ticker
KXNBAGAME-26NOV04MINHOU-MIN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 102¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1s ago35¢27bought yes
3s ago35¢5.46bought yes
15s ago35¢18bought yes
18s ago35¢5.46bought yes
19s ago35¢55bought yes
21s ago35¢5bought yes
23s ago35¢1.36bought yes
24s ago35¢14bought yes
26s ago35¢14bought yes
27s ago35¢27bought yes
27s ago35¢68bought yes
28s ago35¢65bought yes
28s ago35¢27bought yes
28s ago34¢1.09bought no
29s ago34¢298bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.