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NBA Game·closes in 2d

Portland wins

YES means Portland

24h volume
508.8k
565.4k lifetime
Open interest
534.9k
Spread
1¢
1,920 × 5,354 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
58%−1

A YES contract costs 58¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
42%

costs 43¢

YES bid / ask
57¢ / 58¢
NO bid / ask
42¢ / 43¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,57567¢
  • ask47266¢
  • ask7,88965¢
  • ask37.5k64¢
  • ask7,86963¢
  • ask14.3k62¢
  • ask3,51361¢
  • ask5860¢
spread1¢mid 60¢
  • bid2,69459¢
  • bid5,08158¢
  • bid1,53557¢
  • bid1,43556¢
  • bid73655¢
  • bid1,88454¢
  • bid2,57453¢
  • bid12.7k52¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Portland wins the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 2:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNBAGAME-26NOV04PORPHX-POR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
0s ago58¢2bought yes
1s ago58¢28bought yes
1s ago58¢56bought yes
3s ago58¢82bought yes
3s ago58¢659bought yes
3s ago58¢659bought yes
3s ago58¢631bought yes
3s ago58¢659bought yes
3s ago58¢659bought yes
6s ago58¢13bought yes
12s ago58¢42bought yes
15s ago58¢8.37bought yes
32s ago58¢1.67bought yes
35s ago58¢42bought yes
38s ago58¢167bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.