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KXNBAGAME·closes in 2d

Portland wins

YES means Portland

24h volume
714.2k
767.0k lifetime
Open interest
576.4k
Spread
2¢
8,885 × 13.7k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
86%+27

A YES contract costs 86¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
14%

costs 16¢

YES bid / ask
84¢ / 86¢
NO bid / ask
14¢ / 16¢
Recent buying83% YES · 17% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask13.3k93¢
  • ask39.0k92¢
  • ask16.3k91¢
  • ask3,30190¢
  • ask14.6k89¢
  • ask14.9k88¢
  • ask6,88187¢
  • ask19.1k86¢
spread1¢mid 86¢
  • bid7,27085¢
  • bid3,84484¢
  • bid3,22783¢
  • bid5,35682¢
  • bid9,12181¢
  • bid3,48080¢
  • bid8,84479¢
  • bid23.1k78¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Portland wins the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Nov 1 · 2:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNBAGAME-26NOV04PORPHX-POR
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 83% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1s ago86¢1bought yes
5s ago86¢41bought yes
7s ago86¢23bought yes
9s ago85¢100bought yes
9s ago84¢2bought yes
9s ago84¢164bought yes
9s ago84¢100bought yes
10s ago84¢1.17bought yes
12s ago84¢5.88bought yes
13s ago83¢112bought yes
13s ago83¢112bought yes
13s ago82¢4,000bought yes
20s ago81¢85bought no
25s ago82¢0.3bought yes
26s ago82¢164bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.