NBA Game·closes in 2d

Denver wins

YES means Denver

24h volume
235.4k
264.6k lifetime
Open interest
199.2k
+85.6k over 7d
Spread
1¢
24.1k × 161.0k at the touch
24h range
47¢ – 65¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
58%−6

A YES contract costs 59¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
42%

costs 42¢

YES bid / ask
58¢ / 59¢
NO bid / ask
41¢ / 42¢
24h low 47¢24h high 65¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

40¢50¢60¢70¢80¢volNov 1Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8,06666¢
  • ask4,27665¢
  • ask9,95964¢
  • ask2,10963¢
  • ask4,58462¢
  • ask25.5k61¢
  • ask62.1k60¢
  • ask161.1k59¢
spread1¢mid 59¢
  • bid24.6k58¢
  • bid87.1k57¢
  • bid17.1k56¢
  • bid11.9k55¢
  • bid77554¢
  • bid2,68953¢
  • bid11.0k52¢
  • bid15951¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Denver wins the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 2:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNBAGAME-26NOV04TORDEN-DEN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4s ago59¢5.83bought yes
10s ago58¢11bought no
16s ago59¢4.94bought yes
19s ago59¢193bought yes
19s ago59¢50bought yes
19s ago59¢580bought yes
19s ago59¢1bought yes
21s ago59¢6.59bought yes
23s ago59¢8.23bought yes
28s ago59¢82bought yes
33s ago59¢34bought yes
47s ago59¢5.99bought yes
59s ago59¢82bought yes
1m ago59¢16bought yes
1m ago59¢165bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.