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NBA Game·closes in 2d

Denver wins

YES means Denver

24h volume
889.2k
979.6k lifetime
Open interest
625.0k
+619.7k over 24h
Spread
1¢
51 × 134.6k at the touch
24h range
38¢ – 76¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
76%+13

A YES contract costs 76¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
24%

costs 25¢

YES bid / ask
75¢ / 76¢
NO bid / ask
24¢ / 25¢
24h low 38¢24h high 76¢
Recent buying83% YES · 17% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
40¢50¢60¢70¢80¢volNov 4, 3:33 AMNov 5, 3:29 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask44.9k82¢
  • ask6,69181¢
  • ask12.1k80¢
  • ask3,65279¢
  • ask4,47878¢
  • ask21.6k77¢
  • ask62.8k76¢
  • ask113.3k75¢
spread1¢mid 75¢
  • bid98.1k74¢
  • bid1,85173¢
  • bid9,32472¢
  • bid1,64271¢
  • bid70570¢
  • bid5,22369¢
  • bid2,08268¢
  • bid11.8k67¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Denver wins the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 2:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNBAGAME-26NOV04TORDEN-DEN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 83% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
0s ago74¢112bought no
0s ago74¢15bought no
4s ago75¢130bought yes
13s ago76¢26bought yes
14s ago76¢42bought yes
15s ago76¢22bought yes
15s ago76¢13bought yes
17s ago76¢32bought yes
17s ago76¢2.58bought yes
20s ago76¢13bought yes
20s ago76¢10bought yes
20s ago75¢8.26bought no
22s ago75¢10bought no
22s ago74¢126bought no
22s ago75¢75bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.