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NBA Game·closes in 3d

Miami wins

YES means Miami

24h volume
4,814
7,856 lifetime
Open interest
6,900
+3,199 over 90d
Spread
1¢
5.5 × 1,379 at the touch
24h range
36¢ – 42¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
37%−4

A YES contract costs 37¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
63%

costs 64¢

YES bid / ask
36¢ / 37¢
NO bid / ask
63¢ / 64¢
24h low 36¢24h high 42¢
Recent buying78% YES · 22% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
30¢35¢40¢45¢50¢volNov 3, 5:00 AMNov 4, 5:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1244¢
  • ask3243¢
  • ask7242¢
  • ask21441¢
  • ask12540¢
  • ask21939¢
  • ask81238¢
  • ask1,37937¢
spread1¢mid 37¢
  • bid5.536¢
  • bid5035¢
  • bid6534¢
  • bid24033¢
  • bid37332¢
  • bid35031¢
  • bid130¢
  • bid33729¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Miami wins the Miami vs Golden State Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 2 · 3:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 6:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNBAGAME-26NOV05MIAGSW-MIA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 103¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 78% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5m ago37¢12bought yes
16m ago37¢32bought yes
40m ago37¢78bought yes
52m ago37¢12bought yes
56m ago37¢13bought yes
1h ago37¢5.17bought yes
1h ago37¢7.47bought no
1h ago37¢2.53bought no
1h ago38¢19bought yes
2h ago38¢45bought yes
2h ago38¢2.52bought yes
2h ago38¢7.56bought yes
2h ago38¢13bought yes
2h ago38¢13bought yes
2h ago38¢76bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.