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Pro Basketball Team Relocation·closes in 15mo

Will the Portland Pro Basketball team announce they are not relocating or stay in Portland before the start of the 2027-28 regular season?

YES means Do not relocate/announce a relocation

24h volume
0
400 lifetime
Open interest
316
Spread
7¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
76%

A YES contract costs 75¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
24%

costs 32¢

YES bid / ask
68¢ / 75¢
NO bid / ask
25¢ / 32¢
Recent buying11% YES · 89% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20099¢
  • ask34698¢
  • ask1091¢
  • ask10076¢
  • ask575¢
spread7¢mid 72¢
  • bid568¢
  • bid10067¢
  • bid1052¢
  • bid15428¢
  • bid11325¢
  • bid1981¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Portland Pro Basketball team officially announces they are not relocating or stay in Portland before the start of the 2027-28 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the Portland Pro Basketball team officially announces they are not relocating or does not announce a relocation of their primary home stadium before the start of the 2027-28 Pro Basketball regular season, then the "Do not relocate/announce a relocation" market will resolve to Yes. If the Portland Pro Basketball team announces they will relocate but will still play their home games at their current stadium for the 2027-28 Pro Basketball regular season, the market for the announced location will resolve to Yes and the market titled "Do not relocate/announce a relocation" will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 27 · 6:30 PM UTC
closes
Dec 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNBARELOCATION-27POR-NONE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 105¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 11% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
29d ago76¢38bought yes
29d ago75¢5bought yes
1mo ago76¢2.58bought yes
1mo ago62¢198bought no
2mo ago78¢43bought no
2mo ago79¢113bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.