NBA Retirement·closes in 26mo

Will Kyrie Irving announce his retirement before the 2028-29 NBA season?

YES means Before the 2028-29 season

24h volume: 0; 353 lifetime
Open interest: 281; +4.31 over 90d
Spread: 99¢; 0 × 200 at the touch
24h range: –; 2 recent trades

Chance of YES

22%

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

78%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask

0¢ / 99¢

NO bid / ask

1¢ / 100¢

Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask20099¢

spread–mid –

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kyrie Irving announces his retirement from the NBA before the 2028-29 NBA season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. For the purposes of this market, the NBA season start date is defined as the date of the first regular season game for that season. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources

opened: May 27 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes: Nov 15, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Nov 15, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXNBARETIRE-KIRVING11-2829

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
1mo ago	22¢	4.31	bought yes
2mo ago	25¢	5.8	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.