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NBA Retirement·closes in 2mo

Will Kawhi Leonard announce his retirement before the 2026-27 NBA season?

YES means Before the 2026-27 season

24h volume
0
630 lifetime
Open interest
466
+0 over 30d
Spread
2¢
0 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 100¢
Recent buying83% YES · 17% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 26Sep 9

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6399¢
  • ask6787¢
  • ask4,83586¢
  • ask9018¢
  • ask1,0003¢
  • ask52¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Kawhi Leonard announces his retirement from the NBA before the 2026-27 NBA season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. For the purposes of this market, the NBA season start date is defined as the date of the first regular season game for that season. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    May 27 · 6:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Nov 15 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 15, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXNBARETIRE-KLEONARD2-2627
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 18 trades, 83% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    13d ago1¢1bought no
    16d ago1¢44bought no
    16d ago4¢26bought yes
    16d ago5¢4.5bought yes
    16d ago7¢13bought yes
    23d ago7¢1bought yes
    1mo ago3¢5bought no
    1mo ago2¢36bought no
    1mo ago14¢5bought yes
    1mo ago15¢58bought yes
    1mo ago2¢14bought no
    1mo ago3¢5bought no
    1mo ago5¢27bought yes
    1mo ago6¢50bought yes
    1mo ago5¢167bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.