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NBA Retirement·closes in 2mo

Will Stephen Curry announce his retirement before the 2026-27 NBA season?

YES means Before the 2026-27 season

24h volume
0
1,219 lifetime
Open interest
1,199
Spread
4¢
0 × 333 at the touch
24h range
–
28 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 100¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Stephen Curry announces his retirement from the NBA before the 2026-27 NBA season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. For the purposes of this market, the NBA season start date is defined as the date of the first regular season game for that season. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
May 27 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 15 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 15, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNBARETIRE-SCURRY30-2627
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 28 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11d ago1¢72bought yes
11d ago1¢72bought yes
11d ago1¢72bought yes
11d ago1¢72bought yes
11d ago1¢72bought yes
11d ago1¢72bought yes
11d ago1¢72bought yes
11d ago1¢24bought yes
11d ago1¢24bought yes
11d ago1¢24bought yes
11d ago1¢24bought yes
12d ago1¢4bought yes
12d ago1¢8bought yes
13d ago1¢4bought yes
13d ago1¢4bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.