NBA Retirement·closes in 14mo

Will Stephen Curry announce his retirement before the 2027-28 NBA season?

YES means Before the 2027-28 season

24h volume
0
525 lifetime
Open interest
56
Spread
5 × 505 at the touch
24h range
Chance of YES
11%

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
/ 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 96¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Stephen Curry announces his retirement from the NBA before the 2027-28 NBA season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. For the purposes of this market, the NBA season start date is defined as the date of the first regular season game for that season. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
May 27 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 15, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 15, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNBARETIRE-SCURRY30-2728
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.