NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Oklahoma City wins by over 10.5 points

24h volume
46.7k
50.1k lifetime
Open interest
22.6k
Spread
1¢
81 × 7.99 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
40%

A YES contract costs 40¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
60%

costs 61¢

YES bid / ask
39¢ / 40¢
NO bid / ask
60¢ / 61¢
Recent buying30% YES · 70% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Oklahoma City wins by more than 10.5 points in the Cleveland vs Oklahoma City Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 7:19 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
10.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04CLEOKC-OKC11
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 30% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2s ago40¢5.36bought yes
2s ago40¢3.01bought yes
4s ago39¢13bought no
5s ago42¢1bought yes
5s ago43¢12bought no
7s ago44¢11bought no
7s ago47¢1.64bought yes
9s ago43¢1bought no
9s ago42¢1bought no
9s ago46¢0.2bought no
9s ago44¢2bought no
9s ago41¢11bought no
9s ago49¢216bought no
9s ago50¢1bought no
9s ago52¢10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.