NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Oklahoma City wins by over 14.5 points

24h volume
21.5k
21.9k lifetime
Open interest
10.8k
+8,860 over 7d
Spread
7¢
726 × 15 at the touch
24h range
16¢ – 77¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
69%

A YES contract costs 76¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
31%

costs 31¢

YES bid / ask
69¢ / 76¢
NO bid / ask
24¢ / 31¢
24h low 16¢24h high 77¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

20¢30¢40¢50¢60¢volNov 4, 3:00 PMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00286¢
  • ask3,66985¢
  • ask2,25082¢
  • ask1,00181¢
  • ask42280¢
  • ask10079¢
  • ask9577¢
  • ask1576¢
spread7¢mid 73¢
  • bid72669¢
  • bid2,03368¢
  • bid55267¢
  • bid166¢
  • bid15165¢
  • bid10864¢
  • bid26962¢
  • bid2,00061¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Oklahoma City wins by more than 14.5 points in the Cleveland vs Oklahoma City Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 7:19 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
14.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04CLEOKC-OKC15
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7s ago69¢20bought no
9s ago76¢33bought yes
40s ago70¢48bought no
40s ago70¢8bought no
41s ago76¢3bought yes
41s ago76¢70bought yes
41s ago76¢5bought yes
42s ago69¢17bought no
53s ago77¢1.02bought yes
54s ago76¢40bought yes
54s ago76¢3bought yes
1m ago70¢156bought yes
1m ago76¢5bought yes
1m ago76¢40bought yes
1m ago70¢4.79bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.