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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Oklahoma City wins by over 4.5 points

24h volume
17.8k
17.8k lifetime
Open interest
13.3k
+0 over 90d
Spread
11¢
3 × 266 at the touch
24h range
43¢ – 99¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
86%

A YES contract costs 96¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
14%

costs 15¢

YES bid / ask
85¢ / 96¢
NO bid / ask
4¢ / 15¢
24h low 43¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying97% YES · 3% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1199¢
  • ask18397¢
  • ask26696¢
spread11¢mid 91¢
  • bid385¢
  • bid9874¢
  • bid473¢
  • bid10072¢
  • bid6171¢
  • bid9570¢
  • bid25067¢
  • bid166¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Oklahoma City wins by more than 4.5 points in the Cleveland vs Oklahoma City Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 7:19 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04CLEOKC-OKC5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
59s ago86¢3bought yes
1m ago80¢0.01bought no
2m ago82¢19bought no
2m ago85¢15bought no
2m ago86¢4bought no
2m ago89¢10bought no
2m ago87¢3bought no
11m ago99¢10bought yes
11m ago99¢1.12bought yes
11m ago99¢1bought yes
11m ago99¢1bought yes
11m ago99¢1bought yes
11m ago99¢1bought yes
12m ago98¢3.65bought yes
12m ago98¢2.88bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.