NBA Spread·closes in 2d

San Antonio wins by over 2.5 points

24h volume
826
832 lifetime
Open interest
814
Spread
1¢
90 × 3,001 at the touch
24h range
–
33 recent trades
Chance of YES
79%−3

A YES contract costs 78¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
21%

costs 23¢

YES bid / ask
77¢ / 78¢
NO bid / ask
22¢ / 23¢
Recent buying36% YES · 64% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10.0k86¢
  • ask1,45084¢
  • ask15.5k83¢
  • ask582¢
  • ask80081¢
  • ask1,66680¢
  • ask1,82279¢
  • ask2,40178¢
spread1¢mid 78¢
  • bid9077¢
  • bid22076¢
  • bid1,00475¢
  • bid4,65474¢
  • bid1,01173¢
  • bid12.3k72¢
  • bid5,50071¢
  • bid3,20070¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If San Antonio wins by more than 2.5 points in the Dallas vs San Antonio Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 4:45 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:30 AM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04DALSAS-SAS3
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 33 trades, 36% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3m ago79¢3bought no
4m ago80¢63bought yes
6m ago79¢100bought no
6m ago79¢94bought no
6m ago79¢82bought no
7m ago81¢1bought yes
8m ago81¢1bought yes
10m ago83¢1.65bought no
10m ago82¢15bought no
10m ago84¢1bought yes
13m ago84¢10bought yes
15m ago83¢0.15bought no
16m ago82¢1bought yes
17m ago81¢2.96bought no
17m ago81¢75bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.