NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Indiana wins by over 3.5 points

24h volume
4,693
5,584 lifetime
Open interest
2,956
+2,931 over 24h
Spread
4¢
161 × 351 at the touch
24h range
9¢ – 43¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%−8

A YES contract costs 19¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 85¢

YES bid / ask
15¢ / 19¢
NO bid / ask
81¢ / 85¢
24h low 9¢24h high 43¢
Recent buying90% YES · 10% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢volNov 4, 4:46 AMNov 5, 3:08 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00529¢
  • ask2,00028¢
  • ask1,00127¢
  • ask25026¢
  • ask22525¢
  • ask35021¢
  • ask3020¢
  • ask35119¢
spread4¢mid 17¢
  • bid16115¢
  • bid35014¢
  • bid1511¢
  • bid25010¢
  • bid1,0158¢
  • bid2,2157¢
  • bid1,0016¢
  • bid724¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Indiana wins by more than 3.5 points in the Indiana vs Memphis Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:24 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04INDMEM-IND4
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 90% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1m ago13¢0.01bought no
1m ago9¢343bought yes
1m ago9¢4bought yes
1m ago9¢46bought no
2m ago13¢10bought no
2m ago14¢3bought no
2m ago14¢4bought no
3m ago22¢97bought yes
3m ago30¢9bought yes
3m ago29¢32bought yes
3m ago31¢17bought yes
4m ago17¢3.57bought no
5m ago20¢3bought no
5m ago26¢3bought no
5m ago25¢114bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.