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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Memphis wins by over 10.5 points

24h volume
2,432
5,916 lifetime
Open interest
4,819
+1,452 over 7d
Spread
3¢
677 × 322 at the touch
24h range
5¢ – 40¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
15%

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
85%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
7¢ / 10¢
NO bid / ask
90¢ / 93¢
24h low 5¢24h high 40¢
Recent buying23% YES · 77% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢volNov 4, 4:00 PMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1120¢
  • ask9,00019¢
  • ask5918¢
  • ask25015¢
  • ask4,00014¢
  • ask513¢
  • ask2,25010¢
  • ask5209¢
spread4¢mid 7¢
  • bid2,0725¢
  • bid2,0934¢
  • bid6041¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Memphis wins by more than 10.5 points in the Indiana vs Memphis Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:24 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
10.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04INDMEM-MEM11
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 23% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1m ago15¢3,377bought no
2m ago15¢1bought yes
2m ago17¢5bought yes
2m ago14¢1bought yes
2m ago14¢3bought yes
5m ago5¢92bought yes
5m ago5¢1bought yes
5m ago5¢1bought yes
5m ago5¢1.05bought yes
5m ago6¢0.05bought yes
5m ago6¢1bought yes
10m ago6¢1.05bought no
11m ago13¢0.3bought yes
11m ago14¢3bought no
17m ago19¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.