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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Los Angeles L wins by over 10.5 points

24h volume
6,387
7,302 lifetime
Open interest
6,580
Spread
6¢
155 × 176 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
54%

A YES contract costs 56¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
46%

costs 50¢

YES bid / ask
50¢ / 56¢
NO bid / ask
44¢ / 50¢
Recent buying89% YES · 11% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,20062¢
  • ask1,75061¢
  • ask2,37760¢
  • ask1,62358¢
  • ask1,11357¢
  • ask23256¢
  • ask12955¢
  • ask10054¢
spread3¢mid 53¢
  • bid8951¢
  • bid6550¢
  • bid1,21849¢
  • bid1,57548¢
  • bid13647¢
  • bid25046¢
  • bid3,50145¢
  • bid13.0k44¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Los Angeles L wins by more than 10.5 points in the Los Angeles L vs Sacramento Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:29 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:00 AM UTC
floor
10.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04LALSAC-LAL11
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 89% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11s ago54¢94bought no
11s ago54¢78bought no
11s ago54¢6.14bought no
40s ago57¢24bought yes
42s ago55¢2.13bought no
2m ago60¢94bought yes
2m ago62¢75bought yes
2m ago61¢6.86bought yes
2m ago63¢74bought yes
2m ago62¢67bought yes
2m ago62¢6.9bought yes
2m ago60¢3bought yes
2m ago63¢100bought yes
2m ago61¢68bought yes
2m ago61¢36bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.