NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Los Angeles L wins by over 16.5 points

24h volume
2,454
3,382 lifetime
Open interest
3,089
Spread
2¢
97 × 172 at the touch
24h range
–
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
36%

A YES contract costs 34¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
64%

costs 68¢

YES bid / ask
32¢ / 34¢
NO bid / ask
66¢ / 68¢
Recent buying90% YES · 10% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Los Angeles L wins by more than 16.5 points in the Los Angeles L vs Sacramento Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:29 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:00 AM UTC
floor
16.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04LALSAC-LAL17
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 90% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15s ago36¢100bought no
3m ago42¢11bought yes
3m ago38¢668bought yes
3m ago38¢149bought yes
5m ago37¢243bought yes
5m ago37¢518bought yes
15m ago37¢45bought no
23m ago37¢175bought no
23m ago37¢11bought no
23m ago38¢25bought yes
40m ago37¢7bought no
45m ago38¢182bought yes
45m ago38¢102bought yes
45m ago38¢637bought yes
45m ago38¢340bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.