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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Miami wins by over 1.5 points

24h volume
2,361
2,510 lifetime
Open interest
2,328
Spread
1¢
2,384 × 941 at the touch
24h range
–
22 recent trades
Chance of YES
65%

A YES contract costs 65¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
35%

costs 36¢

YES bid / ask
64¢ / 65¢
NO bid / ask
35¢ / 36¢
Recent buying81% YES · 19% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Miami wins by more than 1.5 points in the Miami vs Los Angeles C Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:16 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:30 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04MIALAC-MIA2
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 22 trades, 81% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11s ago65¢149bought yes
12m ago64¢34bought no
12m ago64¢223bought no
12m ago64¢3bought no
12m ago64¢182bought no
12m ago64¢10bought no
23m ago65¢150bought yes
32m ago65¢17bought yes
43m ago65¢30bought yes
1h ago65¢29bought no
1h ago65¢182bought yes
1h ago65¢200bought yes
1h ago66¢1,103bought yes
3h ago65¢10bought yes
3h ago65¢26bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.