NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Miami wins by over 2.5 points

24h volume
3,309
3,322 lifetime
Open interest
3,309
Spread
2¢
3,059 × 1,137 at the touch
24h range
–
26 recent trades
Chance of YES
61%

A YES contract costs 62¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
39%

costs 40¢

YES bid / ask
60¢ / 62¢
NO bid / ask
38¢ / 40¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,15069¢
  • ask9568¢
  • ask11.5k67¢
  • ask12.9k66¢
  • ask21.8k65¢
  • ask12.2k64¢
  • ask4,29263¢
  • ask3,13762¢
spread2¢mid 61¢
  • bid3,05960¢
  • bid6,46159¢
  • bid17.2k58¢
  • bid3,39557¢
  • bid9,53656¢
  • bid40555¢
  • bid9554¢
  • bid3653¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Miami wins by more than 2.5 points in the Miami vs Los Angeles C Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:16 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:30 AM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04MIALAC-MIA3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 26 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2m ago61¢12bought no
8m ago62¢401bought yes
8m ago62¢44bought yes
8m ago62¢17bought yes
36m ago62¢38bought yes
39m ago62¢30bought yes
39m ago62¢314bought yes
41m ago62¢30bought yes
55m ago62¢0.01bought yes
55m ago62¢1,250bought yes
2h ago62¢38bought yes
4h ago62¢55bought yes
5h ago62¢39bought yes
5h ago62¢39bought yes
5h ago62¢79bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.