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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Miami wins by over 4.5 points

24h volume
41.3k
41.5k lifetime
Open interest
40.4k
Spread
1¢
796 × 47.6k at the touch
24h range
51¢ – 57¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
56%+2

A YES contract costs 57¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
44%

costs 44¢

YES bid / ask
56¢ / 57¢
NO bid / ask
43¢ / 44¢
24h low 51¢24h high 57¢
Recent buying90% YES · 10% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,15064¢
  • ask8,19563¢
  • ask6,87962¢
  • ask20061¢
  • ask15.4k60¢
  • ask90.2k59¢
  • ask58.2k58¢
  • ask47.6k57¢
spread1¢mid 57¢
  • bid79656¢
  • bid50.7k55¢
  • bid36.5k54¢
  • bid33.0k53¢
  • bid3,58652¢
  • bid10051¢
  • bid2,09550¢
  • bid4,00148¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Miami wins by more than 4.5 points in the Miami vs Los Angeles C Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:16 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:30 AM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04MIALAC-MIA5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 90% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9s ago56¢16bought no
13s ago57¢51bought yes
57s ago57¢20bought yes
2m ago57¢16bought yes
4m ago56¢63bought no
7m ago57¢4.32bought yes
9m ago57¢50bought yes
15m ago57¢3.06bought yes
22m ago57¢43bought yes
24m ago57¢170bought yes
26m ago56¢1bought no
30m ago57¢85bought yes
34m ago57¢17bought yes
35m ago57¢43bought yes
39m ago56¢182bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.