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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Miami wins by over 8.5 points

24h volume
1,049
1,049 lifetime
Open interest
851
+851 over 7d
Spread
2¢
9,964 × 44.9k at the touch
24h range
39¢ – 42¢
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
40%

A YES contract costs 42¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
60%

costs 60¢

YES bid / ask
40¢ / 42¢
NO bid / ask
58¢ / 60¢
24h low 39¢24h high 42¢
Recent buying45% YES · 55% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
35¢40¢45¢volNov 4, 9:00 PMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8,15049¢
  • ask19548¢
  • ask15047¢
  • ask4,15046¢
  • ask27.2k45¢
  • ask26.2k44¢
  • ask41.9k43¢
  • ask44.7k42¢
spread2¢mid 41¢
  • bid10.3k40¢
  • bid66.1k39¢
  • bid33.7k38¢
  • bid18.7k37¢
  • bid8,05036¢
  • bid9534¢
  • bid8,00033¢
  • bid9731¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Miami wins by more than 8.5 points in the Miami vs Los Angeles C Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:16 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:30 AM UTC
floor
8.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04MIALAC-MIA9
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 45% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5m ago41¢182bought no
5m ago40¢179bought no
5m ago40¢47bought no
1h ago41¢11bought yes
1h ago40¢125bought no
4h ago40¢16bought no
4h ago41¢182bought yes
4h ago42¢280bought yes
4h ago40¢11bought no
6h ago39¢16bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.