NBA Spread·closed · YES

Boston wins by over 4.5 points

24h volume
36.6k
36.7k lifetime
Open interest
19.4k
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
97%+23

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
3%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying28% YES · 72% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Boston wins by more than 4.5 points in the Milwaukee vs Boston Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 8:55 PM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 2:55 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:30 AM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04MILBOS-BOS5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 28% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
19m ago97¢106bought no
20m ago98¢5bought no
20m ago97¢19bought no
20m ago98¢20bought no
20m ago99¢25bought no
20m ago99¢10bought no
20m ago98¢10bought no
20m ago99¢300bought no
20m ago99¢10bought no
20m ago99¢500bought no
20m ago98¢211bought no
20m ago99¢78bought no
20m ago99¢255bought no
20m ago99¢52bought no
20m ago99¢46bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.