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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Houston wins by over 9.5 points

24h volume
26.7k
27.8k lifetime
Open interest
25.4k
+24.3k over 30d
Spread
1¢
39 × 245 at the touch
24h range
35¢ – 52¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
24%−20

A YES contract costs 22¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
76%

costs 79¢

YES bid / ask
21¢ / 22¢
NO bid / ask
78¢ / 79¢
24h low 35¢24h high 52¢
Recent buying46% YES · 54% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
40¢50¢volNov 3, 2:00 PMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask18.2k31¢
  • ask4,02630¢
  • ask7,45029¢
  • ask80028¢
  • ask3,54027¢
  • ask3,50024¢
  • ask50023¢
  • ask24522¢
spread1¢mid 21¢
  • bid3921¢
  • bid55120¢
  • bid2,09319¢
  • bid1,57318¢
  • bid4317¢
  • bid51516¢
  • bid4,30015¢
  • bid4,29314¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Houston wins by more than 9.5 points in the Minnesota vs Houston Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 5:11 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:30 AM UTC
floor
9.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04MINHOU-HOU10
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 46% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16s ago24¢0.5bought no
27s ago25¢33bought no
42s ago25¢7bought no
6m ago30¢4.94bought yes
9m ago29¢33bought no
9m ago29¢73bought no
9m ago29¢176bought no
10m ago29¢5.17bought no
18m ago28¢91bought yes
20m ago40¢1bought yes
21m ago36¢3bought yes
22m ago30¢7.78bought no
22m ago31¢96bought no
25m ago32¢7.19bought no
36m ago32¢49bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.