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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Houston wins by over 14.5 points

24h volume
2,173
2,181 lifetime
Open interest
2,029
+0 over 90d
Spread
1¢
85 × 261 at the touch
24h range
12¢ – 32¢
29 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 89¢
24h low 12¢24h high 32¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8,18719¢
  • ask2,00018¢
  • ask25017¢
  • ask1,51416¢
  • ask2,00015¢
  • ask10014¢
  • ask1,58913¢
  • ask76112¢
spread1¢mid 12¢
  • bid1011¢
  • bid1010¢
  • bid1009¢
  • bid6028¢
  • bid1,6707¢
  • bid406¢
  • bid205¢
  • bid3,7654¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Houston wins by more than 14.5 points in the Minnesota vs Houston Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 5:11 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:30 AM UTC
floor
14.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04MINHOU-HOU15
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 29 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23s ago12¢3bought no
23s ago12¢5bought no
18m ago15¢100bought no
18m ago14¢99bought yes
18m ago14¢99bought no
18m ago14¢1bought no
30m ago22¢3bought yes
30m ago22¢95bought yes
41m ago15¢1bought no
47m ago13¢1bought no
48m ago17¢1bought no
50m ago15¢1bought no
53m ago20¢1bought no
1h ago26¢3bought yes
1h ago26¢50bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.