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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Houston wins by over 4.5 points

24h volume
19.8k
23.3k lifetime
Open interest
19.6k
Spread
1¢
38.7k × 35.4k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
50%−15

A YES contract costs 51¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
50%

costs 50¢

YES bid / ask
50¢ / 51¢
NO bid / ask
49¢ / 50¢
Recent buying69% YES · 31% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,21058¢
  • ask1,50057¢
  • ask6,00056¢
  • ask6,25555¢
  • ask2,09754¢
  • ask13.0k53¢
  • ask15.2k52¢
  • ask35.4k51¢
spread1¢mid 51¢
  • bid38.7k50¢
  • bid66.6k49¢
  • bid13.5k48¢
  • bid2,19747¢
  • bid6,00546¢
  • bid4,00045¢
  • bid1,75044¢
  • bid8,00043¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Houston wins by more than 4.5 points in the Minnesota vs Houston Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 5:11 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:30 AM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04MINHOU-HOU5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
19s ago50¢79bought no
19s ago50¢114bought no
26s ago51¢569bought yes
43s ago51¢7.58bought yes
2m ago50¢580bought no
2m ago50¢12bought no
2m ago51¢190bought yes
3m ago50¢62bought no
3m ago50¢194bought no
3m ago50¢48bought no
3m ago50¢97bought no
4m ago51¢185bought yes
4m ago50¢221bought no
4m ago51¢75bought yes
4m ago51¢123bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.