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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points

24h volume
1,533
1,557 lifetime
Open interest
1,094
Spread
1¢
1,565 × 3,088 at the touch
24h range
–
47 recent trades
Chance of YES
31%

A YES contract costs 31¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
69%

costs 70¢

YES bid / ask
30¢ / 31¢
NO bid / ask
69¢ / 70¢
Recent buying70% YES · 30% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Minnesota wins by more than 1.5 points in the Minnesota vs Houston Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 5:11 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:30 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04MINHOU-MIN2
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 47 trades, 70% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2m ago31¢8.18bought yes
2m ago31¢9.23bought yes
2m ago31¢6.15bought yes
14m ago33¢98bought no
16m ago25¢14bought no
17m ago23¢1bought no
18m ago26¢3bought no
18m ago26¢3bought no
18m ago31¢15bought yes
21m ago32¢15bought yes
25m ago37¢38bought yes
25m ago37¢38bought yes
25m ago37¢60bought yes
28m ago31¢32bought no
28m ago31¢100bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.