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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Minnesota wins by over 4.5 points

24h volume
2,053
2,070 lifetime
Open interest
1,842
+1,842 over 24h
Spread
2¢
1,370 × 3,189 at the touch
24h range
15¢ – 29¢
33 recent trades
Chance of YES
23%

A YES contract costs 23¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
77%

costs 79¢

YES bid / ask
21¢ / 23¢
NO bid / ask
77¢ / 79¢
24h low 15¢24h high 29¢
Recent buying81% YES · 19% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢volNov 4, 3:12 PMNov 5, 2:55 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3,47831¢
  • ask1,20030¢
  • ask2,25029¢
  • ask1,50028¢
  • ask43126¢
  • ask2,65525¢
  • ask10024¢
  • ask3,18923¢
spread2¢mid 22¢
  • bid1,37021¢
  • bid10020¢
  • bid1,70719¢
  • bid2,00018¢
  • bid7,09917¢
  • bid1,50016¢
  • bid2,25015¢
  • bid5,20014¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Minnesota wins by more than 4.5 points in the Minnesota vs Houston Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 5:11 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:30 AM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04MINHOU-MIN5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 33 trades, 81% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2m ago23¢17bought yes
14m ago23¢92bought no
17m ago15¢1bought no
22m ago26¢1.09bought yes
26m ago19¢38bought no
26m ago19¢3bought no
27m ago22¢66bought no
35m ago29¢16bought yes
38m ago26¢66bought no
38m ago28¢17bought yes
42m ago27¢75bought no
42m ago27¢49bought no
46m ago28¢3bought yes
48m ago25¢8.81bought yes
51m ago23¢12bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.