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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Denver wins by over 10.5 points

24h volume
400
1,903 lifetime
Open interest
1,799
Spread
1¢
575 × 1,040 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
18%

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
82%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 84¢
Recent buying95% YES · 5% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Denver wins by more than 10.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
10.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-DEN11
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 95% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7m ago18¢20bought yes
7m ago18¢20bought yes
7m ago18¢83bought yes
7m ago19¢500bought yes
7m ago19¢124bought yes
7m ago18¢286bought yes
7m ago17¢91bought yes
7m ago17¢75bought yes
7m ago17¢47bought yes
7m ago18¢214bought yes
7m ago16¢41bought no
8m ago18¢2bought yes
11m ago10¢1bought no
12m ago11¢1bought no
14m ago9¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.