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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Utah wins by over 4.5 points

24h volume
4,371
7,814 lifetime
Open interest
5,083
Spread
4¢
165 × 69 at the touch
24h range
15¢ – 58¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
44%

A YES contract costs 52¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
56%

costs 52¢

YES bid / ask
48¢ / 52¢
NO bid / ask
48¢ / 52¢
24h low 15¢24h high 58¢
Recent buying56% YES · 44% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50160¢
  • ask17858¢
  • ask25057¢
  • ask37355¢
  • ask14554¢
  • ask1453¢
  • ask6652¢
  • ask3851¢
spread5¢mid 49¢
  • bid16946¢
  • bid543¢
  • bid2542¢
  • bid25041¢
  • bid55040¢
  • bid6,00039¢
  • bid40338¢
  • bid1,34837¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Utah wins by more than 4.5 points in the Utah vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:29 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04UTANOP-UTA5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 56% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3s ago48¢50bought no
18s ago44¢20bought yes
18s ago44¢50bought yes
19s ago44¢22bought yes
21s ago36¢37bought no
21s ago37¢93bought no
25s ago42¢10bought no
25s ago44¢43bought no
25s ago44¢50bought no
25s ago42¢100bought no
25s ago43¢100bought no
25s ago42¢4bought no
52s ago47¢50bought yes
1m ago48¢19bought yes
3m ago43¢38bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.