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NBA team·closes in 40mo

Will the NBA approve a new franchise before 2030?

YES means Before 2030

24h volume
83
14.6k lifetime
Open interest
2,703
+152 over 7d
Spread
23¢
21 × 8 at the touch
24h range
69¢ – 72¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
69%−4

A YES contract costs 92¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
31%

costs 31¢

YES bid / ask
69¢ / 92¢
NO bid / ask
8¢ / 31¢
24h low 69¢24h high 72¢
Recent buying43% YES · 57% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
70¢80¢90¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6299¢
  • ask1898¢
  • ask1,02297¢
  • ask296¢
  • ask892¢
spread23¢mid 81¢
  • bid2169¢
  • bid4059¢
  • bid5049¢
  • bid1345¢
  • bid9044¢
  • bid6039¢
  • bid6237¢
  • bid38436¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Pro Basketball Board of Governors votes to approve a new franchise before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 19, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNBATEAM-30
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will there be a new Pro Basketball team added before 2030?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 43% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
58m ago69¢8bought no
58m ago71¢5bought no
58m ago72¢2bought no
8h ago69¢1bought no
8h ago70¢1bought no
18h ago72¢6bought no
23h ago70¢30bought no
23h ago70¢25bought no
23h ago70¢5bought no
1d ago81¢10bought no
1d ago85¢10bought no
1d ago79¢20bought no
1d ago83¢10bought no
1d ago73¢23bought no
1d ago87¢2.51bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.