Pro Basketball Win Totals·closes in 6mo

Will the Miami Pro Basketball team win at least 40 games in the 2026-27 regular season?

YES means 40+ wins

24h volume
56
2,621 lifetime
Open interest
1,887
Spread
8¢
47 × 14 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
57%−6

A YES contract costs 59¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
43%

costs 49¢

YES bid / ask
51¢ / 59¢
NO bid / ask
41¢ / 49¢
Recent buying57% YES · 43% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask19370¢
  • ask4568¢
  • ask8466¢
  • ask12563¢
  • ask35062¢
  • ask35061¢
  • ask31260¢
  • ask1459¢
spread8¢mid 55¢
  • bid4751¢
  • bid2550¢
  • bid0.6247¢
  • bid26746¢
  • bid20042¢
  • bid140¢
  • bid9035¢
  • bid15527¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Miami Pro Basketball team wins at least 40 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 7 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
May 8, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
May 8, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
floor
40
ticker
KXNBAWINS-27MIA-40
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 57% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago57¢11bought no
10h ago57¢14bought no
10h ago57¢0.08bought no
10h ago57¢30bought no
10h ago63¢0.72bought no
1d ago63¢33bought no
3d ago67¢7.28bought yes
3d ago63¢4bought no
5d ago64¢2bought yes
5d ago61¢12bought no
6d ago62¢14bought yes
6d ago63¢25bought yes
6d ago57¢11bought yes
6d ago61¢1.14bought yes
6d ago57¢8.99bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.