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Pro Basketball Win Totals·closes in 6mo

Will the Miami Pro Basketball team win at least 45 games in the 2026-27 regular season?

YES means 45+ wins

50+ is 37¢. The title market has Miami at 4–5¢, second only to Philadelphia at 10¢, which says more about how flat the NBA board is than about the Heat.
Our read · Sep 20, 2026 · 3 PM ET
24h volume
138
15.2k lifetime
Open interest
10.9k
+668 over 7d
Spread
1¢
7.92 × 165 at the touch
24h range
36¢ – 43¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
36%−7

A YES contract costs 41¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
64%

costs 60¢

YES bid / ask
40¢ / 41¢
NO bid / ask
59¢ / 60¢
24h low 36¢24h high 43¢
Recent buying73% YES · 27% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
30¢40¢50¢60¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2951¢
  • ask64750¢
  • ask6248¢
  • ask19847¢
  • ask1446¢
  • ask9045¢
  • ask3043¢
  • ask16541¢
spread1¢mid 41¢
  • bid7.9240¢
  • bid10939¢
  • bid2838¢
  • bid13037¢
  • bid12536¢
  • bid42534¢
  • bid59533¢
  • bid1932¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Miami Pro Basketball team wins at least 45 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 7 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
May 8, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
May 8, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
floor
45
ticker
KXNBAWINS-27MIA-45
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 73% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
22h ago36¢22bought no
22h ago41¢84bought no
22h ago42¢14bought no
22h ago43¢8.62bought yes
22h ago43¢9bought yes
1d ago43¢100bought yes
1d ago43¢10bought yes
1d ago41¢16bought no
1d ago42¢0.4bought no
1d ago42¢9bought no
2d ago45¢16bought no
2d ago45¢14bought yes
2d ago44¢21bought no
2d ago45¢10bought no
2d ago43¢14bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.