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NCAAF Championship·closes in 4mo

Will Miami (FL) win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

YES means Miami (FL)

Fourth on the board behind Texas (15¢), Ohio State (12¢) and Ole Miss (7¢). The regular-season market has the Hurricanes at 11+ wins at 65¢; Clemson comes to town Oct 3.
Our read · Sep 20, 2026 · 3 PM ET
24h volume
135.2k
3.72M lifetime
Open interest
2.59M
Spread
1¢
6,447 × 114.8k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%−5

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 90¢
Recent buying12% YES · 88% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,27118¢
  • ask105.4k17¢
  • ask93.9k16¢
  • ask30915¢
  • ask5,41214¢
  • ask5,25113¢
  • ask5,90112¢
  • ask114.8k11¢
spread1¢mid 11¢
  • bid6,44710¢
  • bid107.2k9¢
  • bid6,3308¢
  • bid2,3667¢
  • bid2,6476¢
  • bid2,4025¢
  • bid18.8k4¢
  • bid40.2k3¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Miami (FL) wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 21 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 23, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 26, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAF-27-MIA
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 12% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
30s ago11¢38bought yes
16m ago10¢1,174bought no
22m ago11¢0.17bought yes
25m ago10¢188bought no
31m ago11¢214bought yes
31m ago11¢43bought yes
32m ago10¢2,000bought no
34m ago11¢5,000bought no
34m ago11¢54bought no
34m ago11¢503bought no
34m ago11¢2,000bought no
34m ago11¢5.75bought no
37m ago12¢601bought no
37m ago12¢35bought no
37m ago12¢79bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.