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NCAAF Championship·closes in 4mo

Will Texas win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

YES means Texas

24h volume
8,301
4.66M lifetime
Open interest
2.92M
Spread
1¢
127.7k × 134.5k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 94¢
Recent buying57% YES · 43% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Texas wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 21 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 23, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 26, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAF-27-TEX
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 57% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
21m ago7¢192bought yes
1h ago7¢671bought yes
2h ago7¢13bought yes
2h ago6¢115bought no
4h ago7¢134bought yes
5h ago7¢3.22bought yes
5h ago7¢1,341bought yes
6h ago6¢39bought no
6h ago6¢23bought no
7h ago7¢40bought yes
7h ago6¢48bought no
7h ago6¢5bought no
8h ago7¢54bought yes
9h ago6¢126bought no
9h ago7¢49bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.