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College Football Coach Out By·closes in 4mo

Bill Belichick out before Feb 1, 2027

YES means Before Feb 1, 2027

24h volume
0
2,983 lifetime
Open interest
2,571
+0 over 24h
Spread
15¢
100 × 3 at the touch
24h range
–
38 recent trades
Chance of YES
75%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
25%

costs 21¢

YES bid / ask
79¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
6¢ / 21¢
Recent buying88% YES · 12% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
70¢80¢90¢100¢volSep 20, 7:06 AMSep 20, 11:50 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10099¢
  • ask598¢
  • ask20195¢
  • ask394¢
spread15¢mid 87¢
  • bid10079¢
  • bid578¢
  • bid10076¢
  • bid562¢
  • bid10045¢
  • bid2,9915¢
  • bid464¢
  • bid1001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the head coach of the North Carolina college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the North Carolina college football team must be fired, resign, or otherwise leave their position as head coach; or has announced that they will do so before Feb 1, 2027. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 30 · 5:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAFCOACHLEAVE-26BBEL-020127
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 38 trades, 88% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago75¢100bought no
6d ago64¢1bought no
6d ago64¢4bought no
7d ago63¢100bought no
8d ago63¢22bought no
12d ago64¢10bought no
12d ago64¢10bought no
12d ago63¢2.39bought no
12d ago64¢2.61bought no
12d ago62¢10bought no
12d ago60¢10bought no
12d ago61¢90bought no
12d ago61¢10bought no
13d ago56¢83bought yes
13d ago85¢2.61bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.