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College Football Coach Out By·closes in 2mo

Bill Belichick out before Dec 1, 2026

YES means Before Dec 1, 2026

24h volume
347
11.5k lifetime
Open interest
7,282
+1,225 over 7d
Spread
29¢
5 × 34 at the touch
24h range
50¢ – 64¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
50%−11

A YES contract costs 80¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
50%

costs 49¢

YES bid / ask
51¢ / 80¢
NO bid / ask
20¢ / 49¢
24h low 50¢24h high 64¢
Recent buying54% YES · 46% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10099¢
  • ask54696¢
  • ask1695¢
  • ask583¢
  • ask24782¢
  • ask6081¢
  • ask3480¢
spread29¢mid 66¢
  • bid551¢
  • bid19550¢
  • bid4227¢
  • bid6826¢
  • bid56525¢
  • bid11324¢
  • bid38023¢
  • bid20022¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the head coach of the North Carolina college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the North Carolina college football team must be fired, resign, or otherwise leave their position as head coach; or has announced that they will do so before Dec 1, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 30 · 5:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 1 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAFCOACHLEAVE-26BBEL-120126
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 54% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11h ago64¢5bought no
11h ago62¢100bought no
11h ago55¢3.83bought no
11h ago63¢135bought no
11h ago50¢103bought no
2d ago61¢85bought no
2d ago62¢50bought no
2d ago62¢0.41bought no
2d ago62¢1.41bought no
2d ago61¢12bought no
2d ago61¢2.45bought no
2d ago61¢2.85bought no
2d ago61¢0.61bought no
3d ago67¢0.73bought yes
3d ago66¢0.73bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.